Kamis, 27 Januari 2011

Marketing Pilgrim Published: “Does Demand Media’s Successful IPO Validate Content Farms?” plus 3 more

Marketing Pilgrim Published: “Does Demand Media’s Successful IPO Validate Content Farms?” plus 3 more

Link to Andy Beal's Marketing Pilgrim

Does Demand Media’s Successful IPO Validate Content Farms?

Posted: 27 Jan 2011 06:30 AM PST

Yesterday, Demand Media may have pulled off one of the best "just in time" IPO's of all time. The company mass produces content and is one of the leading content farms in the online space. People within their company and others like them (Yahoo's Associated Content, Examiner.com, AOL's Seed etc.) bristle at the notion that they only produce high volume, keyword specific content which leaves quality far down the list of desired results. Truth be told, the vast majority if readers don't know the difference which is more an indictment of education levels than a companies ability to capitalize on a market.

What is most intriguing, though, is the timing of the IPO relative to Google's announcement that it is going to be cracking down on the types of content that these farms generate en masse on a daily basis. I have affectionately referred to it as craptent in the past. Harsh? Yes, but if you read some of what is produced on these 'farms' you can see that the classification is on point. (Please note that I know that everything I write doesn’t smell like roses either :-) ).

It was just last week that Matt Cutts went public with Google's recognition that their search results can be a bit spammy at times. If Matt has been green-lighted to address the issue in public then you know that Google is at least giving it real consideration as a problem. This recognition comes only after years of cries for them to clean up the SERP's so people searching could get real results and those producing higher quality content would have a shot at the top positions.

All of this being said, Demand Media managed to raise $151 million in its IPO (it was aiming for $138 million) on a valuation of just under $1.5 billion which is higher than the New York Times. Talk about all the news that is fit to mass produce! As Peter Kafka of All Things Digital noted there have been more than a few questions around Demand as well.

Demand Media has given skeptics plenty to chew on over the last six months: Accounting issues to hash out with the Feds; weird noises from Google, which it depends on; and debates about what "profitable" means.

Another element in all of this is Goldman Sachs who was the lead underwriter for the IPO. I suspect that there is nothing more to be said about this aspect considering the high moral character of that shop (Got any Facebook investments stateside?).

But you cannot deny the success of the company from a business standpoint. They have people interested in investing in them. Are these people completely aware of all the threats to the business model of Demand Media? I would have to say yes but back in the late 1990's we also suspected that people thought outlandish valuations for companies with no revenue was a good thing as well. Not to mention business folks penchant for thinking bad home loans were a great way to fuel growth. Based on history, it looks like we have a real winner here!

In the end, this IPO and its success don't make much sense. I guess I was hoping for these mass content producers to not get the financial support to move this technique further along. But with business being more about making money than making things better (or even making sense at all) this shouldn't be a surprise to anyone.

One day’s 'validation' of this concept could simply be a speculative move rather than one based on long term success of the content farm model. On the other hand, if Google can't figure out how to determine real quality in content this argument could be for naught. If that's the case then there may be a lot of changes in the online landscape, not the least of which is a real erosion in trust in Google's ability to deliver the best results at any given moment (meaning more than just from industry types but from the actual search engine using public).

Now that would be news. How do you feel about content farms? Are they a boon to online business or a boondoggle for the Internet as a whole? Let us know in the comments today.


Twitter’s Search for Search Talent Finds Bing’s Principal Scientist

Posted: 27 Jan 2011 05:36 AM PST

Holy Search Find, Batman! Twitter looks to be getting quite a bit more serious about making the term "Twitter Search" less of an oxymoron and more of a real resource. While Twitter has developed relationships with the major search engines to get their feeds for indexing and archiving it did so more as a recognition of its inability to do it itself. Heck, someone needed to get a grasp on the gazillion tweets and the relative small percentage of real information buried among them!

So Twitter has made the step of taking one of the top talents of Microsoft's Bing search decision engine (someone PLEASE explain that one to me) and bringing them into nest. ReadWriteWeb reports

Alek Kołcz, Principal Scientist at Microsoft’s search engine Bing, appears to have left the company and joined Twitter this week. Kołcz’s Twitter messages are protected and he hasn’t changed any of his profiles online, but we noticed tonight that he’s been added to the list of staff members on the Twitter website. The company has yet to respond to our request for comment.

This is rather large step for Twitter since it is trying to roll out it's self serve ad program for real now. Imagine the ability to search effectively on the Twitter site for information that is more than a few days old. What if you could run ads next to those search results? Gee, I wonder if anyone else has tried that one ………..?

Some good news about this hire comes in the knowledge that Kolcz is big on fighting spam. Hooray!

Kołcz is an info-science heavy, having published numerous research articles in publications likeThe Journal of Supercomputing, Neurocomputing and Neural Networks. He appears to have a special affinity for spam crushing, something Twitter must struggle with a whole lot. As use of the service grows, so too will the importance of its search – especially given the very public nature of Twitter’s data.

This is Twitter's eighth hire (out of 362 total employees) from Microsoft which doesn't represent an exodus by any means but the level of this hire appears to be a win for the 140 character at a time set.

Maybe the people that are leaving Microsoft are interested in actually doing something on the Internet rather than trying to chase a rival through $100 million ad campaigns?

Your thoughts?


Yahoo Reports Surprising Rise in Display Dollars

Posted: 26 Jan 2011 09:12 PM PST

They thought it wouldn’t happen, but the folks at Yahoo! (and many others) got a happy surprise when they totaled up the balance sheets for Q4 2010. Turns out they saw a 16% increase in display ad revenue, popping them up from $465 to $567 million dollars.

Unfortunately, the spike did nothing to help the 600 people that got pink slips in December. It’s also too little, too late for the additional 1% which are expected to be let go in the coming months.

The trouble lies in the fact that even though display rose, search ad revenues dropped 18%. Overall, the company was down 4% in total revenue over last year and that’s enough to hurt.

Yahoo! is blaming the drop on outside forces. Says ClickZ,

The firm attributed the drop to revenue share paid to Microsoft, in addition to $27 million lost through the discontinuation of its paid inclusion ad product, and the sale of HotJobs and e-mail firm Zimbra.

It would be nice if this rise in display dollars was a sign of continued growth in the online ad economy but is it likely? Is it likely for Yahoo!? Though the old school internet company is still number one in display advertising, they’ve got Google and Facebook bearing down on them in their rear view mirror.

Chief Financial Officer Tim Morse told Reuters that he wasn’t concerned about Facebook.

“All impressions aren’t created equal. With the big customers and branded advertisers, and the premium dollars being spent, we really aren’t seeing that kind of competition.”

When asked if there could be more layoffs in the future, Morse played it safe with a non-committal response.

“Over the next few years, there will definitely be some more people who leave, there will be more people who are hired.”

That there is what you call, a definite maybe.


Facebook Encourages You to Buy with Friends

Posted: 26 Jan 2011 02:04 PM PST

It can be hard keeping up with the virtual Jonses. First your old roommate gets a new tractor for his farm, then your mom gets a missile launcher and your best friend just got a baby whale. Don’t stress it. Facebook’s new Buy with Friends program is going to help you keep up by offering you a chance to purchase everything your friends bought and you might even get a discount.

Deb Liu of Facebook Commerce Product Marketing announced the roll out of the new program at the Inside Social Apps InFocus 2011 Conference.

Buy with Friends is an attempt to make social commerce more social and it could be both a boon and a bust, depending on which side of the dollar you’re on.

The whole process is one of suggestive selling. Your roommate buys that tractor in Farmville, so you get a notice offering you the same tractor at 40% off. Facebook has now considerably upped the chances of you buying the virtual object and that’s not virtual money that is falling into their pocket.

Early reports say that players will have the option of sending or not sending notifications. Liu remarked that in testing, "more than 50 percent of users elected to share a purchase." But being on the sharing end isn’t annoying. The trouble comes on the receiving end when you’re bombarded with notices asking you to buy, buy, buy.

In order to facilitate the shopping push, Facebook is working on a feature that will allow you to purchase more credits without leaving the game. This feature, which has been used by poker sites for ages, should lead to higher revenues as it encourages impulse buying.

In addition to the annoyance factor, there’s also the issue of games that don’t use Facebook credits as their base form of currency. As All Things Digital pointed out, having to exchange real money for in-game cash, which has to then be turned into Facebook credits is too cumbersome. For social commerce to truly take off, the majority of developers need to use the same type of currency and that’s exactly what Facebook is counting on.

What do you think of the new Buy with Friends program? Is it a nice feature that will encourage the growth of the virtual goods market, or a blatant marketing push that players will ignore rather than annoy their friends?

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